Existing Archetypes
Currently, there are many existing archetypes that players fall into, specifically around trade season. For example, you may have heard the term “salary dump,” a player that a team no longer views as worth their salary and which they compensate another team to eat the dead cap from the player’s contract. You may have also heard of a “consolidation,” where a team trades multiple smaller or midrange salaries and package them to trade up in salary. Now, add to the list a “Mercenary.”
The Disruption
In the lottery new system, the bottom three teams in the standings will lose 1 of their 3 chances to win the draft lottery. This means that teams that are in the asset accumulation phase of their rebuild will be looking to win games down the stretch of the season. However, they likely don’t want to forfeit future flexibility. This is the niche we are looking at. Out of this new lottery system, players that would normally end up being salary dump players could provide value to the receiving team.
What to Expect

Foto: Wienwiki / Walter Maderbacher, CC BY-SA 3.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0, via Wikimedia Commons
For those that are not up to scratch on their history, mercenaries are soldiers that are paid for their allegiance. The key factor in this scenario is that these soldiers had no vested stake in the strategic outcomes of the war. They weren’t fighting to protect their families, or to gain resources for their people, or even for the pride of their country. They were fighting for their reputation and to improve their position in life.
Many players can provide short-term veteran talent to bolster a teams rotation down the stretch, even if contending teams have determined that they are not the right fit for their current roster. As for the players motivation, it would be parallel to those historical mercenaries, finances and reputation. Playing out the remaining year of their contract becomes an exercise in reviving their value on the open market.
In the event teams are sitting near the bottom of the standings, traditionally they would look to use whatever cap space they have on absorbing player contracts to save other teams on their waived salary in exchange for draft capital. In essence, they would be salary dump destinations. This trend is especially pronounced since taking in more salary than you trade out now hard caps teams at the first aprons. Teams with cap space that are vying for the top pick would take on a contract or two that were included as trade matching salary in a 3-team deal so that both of the other teams were sending out more salary than they were taking in.

Erik Drost, CC BY 2.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0, via Wikimedia Commons

Chensiyuan, CC BY-SA 4.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0, via Wikimedia Commons
These players were often not included in the deal because they were not productive, but because their salary was needed to make the trade math work and, possibly, because their contract was overvalued. However, if the players are still productive the receiving teams might not waive the players anymore, especially if the player is on a short term contract. These players might be worth a few more wins that will boost them out of the bottom 3 relegation zone.
Now look at the motivation for those players. Either way, they will be getting their guaranteed salary. If the team gives them the option to either play out the year on a team that could give them lots of minutes and usage or try to find a spot on a minimum contract to sit at the end of the bench, they might be willing to take the opportunity to boost their upcoming free agency stock rather than sign a minimum on a contender without many opportunities.
Effects on the Trade Market
While I don’t believe that the salary dump trade will be completely eradicated, I do believe that there may be a new market force acting on these transactions. It would not surprise me if the price of offloading salaries to a third team significantly decreased, or even eliminated draft compensation completely.
Potential Mercenaries
Cam Johnson
Julius Randle
Jarace Walker
Andrew Wiggins (Giannis Trade?)
Caris LeVert
Potential Keepers
Chicago Bulls
Memphis Grizzlies
Sacramento Kings
